Tropical Storm #KristinePH has maintained its strength while moving northwestward over the sea east of the Bicol Region, according to the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA).

As of 11:00 p.m. on October 22, 2024, the center of #KristinePH was located 345 km east-northeast of Daet, Camarines Norte.

The storm is moving at a speed of 10 km/h in a northwestward direction.

The storm currently has maximum sustained winds of 75 km/h near its center, with gustiness reaching up to 90 km/h.

Tropical Cyclone Wind Signal No. 2 has been raised over:

Luzon

  • The southern portion of mainland Cagayan (Peñablanca, Enrile, Tuguegarao City)
  • Isabela
  • The northeastern portion of Quirino (Maddela)
  • The northeastern portion of Aurora (Dinalungan, Casiguran, Dilasag)
  • Catanduanes
  • The eastern portion of Camarines Norte (Basud, Daet, Talisay, Vinzons, Paracale, Mercedes)
  • The eastern portion of Camarines Sur (Caramoan, Presentacion, Garchitorena, Tinambac, Siruma, Lagonoy, Goa, San Jose, Saglay, Tigaon)
  • The eastern portion of Albay (Rapu-Rapu, Bacacay, City of Tabaco, Malilipot, Malinao, Tiwi)
  • The eastern portion of Sorsogon (Barcelona, Gubat, Prieto Diaz)

Visayas

  • The northeastern portion of Northern Samar (Palapag, Mapanas, Gamay, Laoang, Catubig, Lapinig, Pambujan, San Roque)
  • The northern portion of Eastern Samar (Jipapad, San Policarpo, Arteche)

Tropical Cyclone Wind Signal No. 1 has been raised over:

Luzon

  • Ilocos Norte
  • Ilocos Sur
  • La Union
  • Pangasinan
  • Apayao
  • Kalinga
  • Abra
  • Mountain Province
  • Ifugao
  • Benguet
  • Batanes
  • The rest of Cagayan including Babuyan Islands
  • The rest of Quirino
  • Nueva Vizcaya
  • The rest of Aurora
  • Nueva Ecija
  • Tarlac
  • Zambales
  • Bataan
  • Pampanga
  • Bulacan
  • Metro Manila
  • Cavite
  • Laguna
  • Batangas
  • Rizal
  • Quezon including Polillo Islands
  • Occidental Mindoro including Lubang Islands
  • Oriental Mindoro
  • Masbate including Ticao and Burias Islands
  • Marinduque
  • Romblon
  • The rest of Camarines Norte
  • The rest of Camarines Sur
  • The rest of Albay
  • The rest of Sorsogon
  • Calamian Islands

Visayas

  • Aklan
  • Capiz
  • The northern portion of Antique (Libertad, Pandan, Sebaste, Culasi) including Caluya Islands
  • The northern portion of Iloilo (Sara, Batad, San Dionisio, Carles, Estancia, Balasan)
  • The rest of Eastern Samar
  • The rest of Northern Samar
  • Samar
  • Leyte
  • Biliran
  • Southern Leyte.

Mindanao

  • Dinagat Islands and Surigao del Norte including Siargao - Bucas Grande Group.

Heavy Rainfall Outlook:

Refer to Weather Advisory No. 9 issued at 11:00 PM today for the heavy rainfall outlook due to #Kristine.

Severe Winds:

The wind signals warn the public of the general wind threat over an area due to the tropical cyclone. Local winds may be slightly stronger or enhanced in coastal and upland/mountainous areas exposed to winds. Minor to moderate impacts from gale-force winds are possible within any of the localities where Wind Signal No. 2 is hoisted. Minimal to minor impacts from strong winds are possible within any of the areas under Wind Signal No. 1.

The highest wind signal which may be hoisted during the occurrence of #Kristine is Wind Signal No. 3. Furthermore, the wind flow towards the circulation of #Kristine and the northeasterly wind flow will also bring strong to gale-force gusts over the following areas (especially in coastal and upland areas exposed to winds):

  • Tomorrow (23 October): MIMAROPA, Visayas, and Mindanao.
  • Thursday (24 October): MIMAROPA, Bicol Region, Visayas, Basilan, Sulu, Tawi-Tawi, Zamboanga del Norte, Lanao del Sur, Northern Mindanao, Dinagat Islands, Surigao del Norte, Davao del Sur, and Davao Oriental.
  • Friday (25 October): MIMAROPA, Bicol Region, Western Visayas, Negros Occidental, Zamboanga del Norte, Basilan, Sulu, Tawi-Tawi.

Coastal Inundation:

There is a minimal to moderate risk of life-threatening storm surge in the next 48 hours over the low-lying or exposed coastal localities of Ilocos Norte, Ilocos Sur, La Union, Pangasinan, Cagayan, Isabela, Aurora, Zambales, Bataan, Quezon including Polillo Islands, Camarines Sur, and Catanduanes. For more information, refer to Storm Surge Warning No. 3 issued at 8:00 PM today.

Hazards Affecting Coastal Waters:

A Gale Warning is hoisted over the northern and eastern seaboards of Luzon, the southern seaboard of Southern Luzon, and the eastern seaboard of Visayas. For more information, refer to Gale Warning No. 4 issued at 5:00 PM today.

24-Hour Sea Condition Outlook:

  • Up to high seas over the following coastal waters:
    • Up to 7.0 m: The seaboard of Batanes, Cagayan including Babuyan Islands, Isabela, Ilocos Norte, Catanduanes, Camarines Norte, northern Aurora, the northern and eastern seaboards of Camarines Sur.
    • Up to 6.0 m: The seaboard of Polillo Islands; the northern and eastern seaboards of Northern Samar.

Sea travel is risky for all types or tonnage of vessels. All mariners must remain in port or, if underway, seek shelter or safe harbor as soon as possible until winds and waves subside.

  • Up to very rough seas over the following coastal waters:
    • Up to 5.0 m: The seaboard of Zambales; the remaining seaboard of Ilocos Region, the eastern seaboards of Albay, and Sorsogon.

Sea travel is risky for all types or tonnage of vessels. All mariners must remain in port or, if underway, seek shelter or safe harbor as soon as possible until winds and waves subside.

  • Up to rough seas over the following coastal waters:
    • Up to 4.0 m: The northern and western seaboards of Surigao del Norte; the seaboards of Dinagat Islands, Southern Leyte, Camiguin, and Lubang Island; the southern seaboard of Bohol; the eastern seaboard of Eastern Samar; the eastern seaboard of mainland Quezon; the western seaboard of Bataan and Batangas; the remaining seaboard of Bicol Region.
    • Up to 3.5 m: The seaboard of Zamboanga del Norte, Cagayancillo Islands; the southern seaboard of Iloilo; the western seaboard of Guimaras; the western and southern seaboards of Negros Occidental and Negros Oriental.
    • Up to 3.0 m: The remaining seaboard of Visayas and Quezon; the seaboard of Romblon and Marinduque; the eastern seaboard of Oriental Mindoro; the northern and western seaboard of Calamian Islands; the western seaboard of Occidental Mindoro and mainland Palawan.

Mariners of small seacrafts, including all types of motorbancas, are advised not to venture out to sea under these conditions, especially if inexperienced or operating ill-equipped vessels.

  • Up to moderate seas over the following coastal waters:
    • Up to 2.5 m: The remaining seaboards of the country.

Mariners of motorbancas and similarly-sized vessels are advised to take precautionary measures while venturing out to sea and, if possible, avoid navigation under these conditions.

Track and Intensity Outlook:

#KristinePH is forecast to move northwestward until tomorrow (23 October) evening before turning westward for the rest of the forecast period. It is forecast to make landfall over Isabela or northern Aurora tomorrow evening or on Thursday (24 October) early morning. It will then cross the mountainous terrain of Northern Luzon and emerge over the waters west of Ilocos Region on Thursday afternoon or evening. #KristinePH may exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) region on Friday (25 October). Changes in the forecast track are not ruled out, depending on the movement of the weather systems surrounding this tropical cyclone in the next few days.

#KristinePH is forecast to gradually intensify into a severe tropical storm before making landfall. Slight weakening will occur while crossing Northern Luzon. Re-intensification may occur over the West Philippine Sea.