Julian now a typhoon outside PAR, Signal No. 1 hoisted over four Luzon areas

Julian, downgraded to a typhoon, remains outside the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) but four Luzon areas are still under Signal No. 1 on Wednesday, according to the latest Tropical Cyclone Bulletin posted by PAGASA.

Julian's center was estimated to be located at 4 a.m. at 280 kilometers west northwest of Itbayat, Batanes outside PAR, packing maximum sustained winds of 165 kilometers per hour near the center, with gustiness of up to 205 kph and moving slowly in the north northwest direction.

However, there are areas that remain under Tropical Cyclone Wind Signal (TCWS) No. 1. These are:

• Batanes;
• Babuyan Islands;
• the northern and western portions of Ilocos Norte (Pasuquin, Sarrat, Paoay, Bangui, Vintar, Burgos, Pagudpud, Bacarra, Currimao, Adams, Pinili, San Nicolas, Dumalneg, Laoag City, Badoc, City of Batac); and
• the northwestern portion of mainland Cagayan (Santa Praxedes, Sanchez-Mira, Claveria).

Forecast weather conditions

Batanes, Cagayan, Apayao, Kalinga, Abra, Mountain Province, Ilocos Norte, and Ilocos Sur will have rains with gusty winds due to Typhoon Julian (international name: Krathon) with the possibility that flash floods or landslides will occur due to moderate to heavy with at times intense rains. Minimal to minor threat to lives and properties due to strong winds may be expected.

Central Luzon and the rest of Cagayan Valley, Cordillera Administrative Region, and Ilocos Region will have cloudy skies with scattered rains and thunderstorms due to the trough of Typhoon Julian with the possibility that flash floods or landslides will occur due to moderate to at times heavy rains.

Davao Region, SOCCSKSARGEN, and BARMM will have cloudy skies with scattered rains and thunderstorms due to the easterlies with the possibility that flash floods or landslides will occur due to moderate to at times heavy rains.

Metro Manila and the rest of country will have partly cloudy to cloudy skies with isolated rain showers or thunderstorms due to localized thunderstorms. Flash floods or landslides may occur during severe thunderstorms.

PAGASA forecast that minimal to minor impacts from strong winds are possible within any of the areas under TCWS No. 1.

Forecast wind and coastal water condition

The wind speed forecast for Northern Luzon is strong moving in the southwest to south direction with rough coastal waters.

Central Luzon will experience moderate to strong wind speed moving in the southwest to south direction with moderate to rough coastal waters.

The rest of the country will have light to moderate winds moving in the east to northeast direction while coastal waters will be slight to moderate.

A gale warning was hoisted over the northern seaboard of Northern Luzon.

Sea travel is risky for most types or tonnage of vessels and the weather bureau has advised mariners to remain in port or seek safe shelter or harbor.

Track and intensity outlook

"There is a significant change in the track forecast of Julian," said PAGASA.

However, the typhoon is still forecast to turn northeastward towards the southwestern coast of Taiwan, where it is expected to make landfall by Wednesday evening or early Thursday morning.

"After landfall, Julian is forecast to move erratically over the landmass and coastal waters of Taiwan before emerging over the Taiwan Strait on Friday evening or Saturday early morning. Afterwards, Julian will move southwestward over the Taiwan Strait and the waters south of mainland China," PAGASA added.

There is no dominant weather system influencing the general motion of Julian as of the latest weather update.

Sunrise will be at 5:46 a.m., sunset at 5:45 p.m.

Classes for Wednesday, October 2, 2024 have been suspended in some areas due to the effects of Typhoon Julian. — BAP/KG, GMA Integrated News